Toronto's model edge stems from better offensive momentum (5.4 avg runs in L10 vs Detroit's 3.0) and a slightly less taxed schedule situation despite more games played recently. Detroit's injury list is devastating — losing Skubal, Verlander, Mize, Báez, Torres, and Carpenter creates significant lineup and rotation depth concerns that compound against a Blue Jays club showing offensive life. Yesavage has been limiting earned runs in recent outings while Detroit's Madden faces a lineup with better underlying momentum.