Boston is the model pick in a near-tossup, and the matchup supports a modest road win: Cam Schlittler has excellent results versus Boston, but the Red Sox have the better recent run prevention profile and a slightly fresher path on the mound/bullpen side. Yankee Stadium can boost homers, yet New York is missing key power bats, which lowers the home offense ceiling and keeps this in a close, lower-scoring game. The main risk is Schlittler’s strong Boston track record flipping the game back to the Yankees, but the overall team form leans slightly Red Sox.