Seattle gets the nod at home where they hold a dominant 11-3 H2H advantage over San Diego in the last three years, and T-Mobile Park's pitcher-friendly environment (0.92x runs) should keep this a low-scoring affair. Emerson Hancock showed a favorable 3.00 ERA against San Diego this season in his prior start, while Randy Vásquez struggled badly at Seattle with a 9.00 ERA in 4.0 IP back in April. San Diego's bullpen is also taxed with a stress score of 9.4 over the last three days, which could be decisive in a close game.