The Yankees hold a significant ELO advantage (1563 vs 1427) and a dominant run differential (+69 vs -22), making them the clear class team in this Subway Series matchup. The Mets are decimated by injuries — Francisco Lindor, Francisco Alvarez, Jorge Polanco, Ronny Mauricio, and Luis Robert Jr. are all on the IL — severely compromising their lineup depth. Cam Schlittler has been elite lately (0 ER in 3 of his last 5 starts) while pitching at a pitcher-friendly Citi Field keeps the total modest.